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Stock Watch

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anthony

Founder
I thought it might be interesting to share your 'stock you're watching' for others to learn for possible investment, and your reasons why.

Mine today is: Washington Federal Inc. (WAFDW)

For 2012 they've got about a $3.70 share average, and in today's trading they took a big nose dive from $3.79. The shares are closed at $2.90, and there is nothing in the news about them doing anything different. Even the analyst chatter on that stock is zero... so just a pure dumb luck type thing possibly... which should return to its normal stock price tomorrow!

If it pays off, then that's a 31% gain on that stock, just recovering its anomaly fall.

Saying that... also one hell of a risk right now with the state of the market and everyone scattering for safety in commodities until this blows over. Check out some gold stocks... all up and rising for near the past week.

Screen Shot 2012-12-13 at 2.19.32 PM.webp


Screen Shot 2012-12-13 at 2.22.09 PM.webp
 
If anyone is online tomorrow from start of trading, you may want to have a real-time stock watcher and watch RIGL Rigel Pharmaceuticals, as it fell off a cliff today at near -35% because of a failed drug they pushed into the market.

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2012/12/13/why-rigel-pharmaceuticals-shares-got-crushed.aspx

Now... whilst that impacts all these economic geniuses, for gaming it means a possible huge win-fall on the horizon, as all pharma companies screw-up a drug here and there, and the following results over the last 2 years shows the company will bounce back as strong as ever, and even tomorrow / next week... as this is a typical market panic result, then they all get over it overnight and want to make money, so expect this to possibly be flowing with quick cash first up in the day for quick profits, then bail out if it does so, as it may close lower once the cash grab finishes.

Economists aren't stupid people... and greed always wins. When the company has past results like below, money is to be made and that is why they're there.

Screen Shot 2012-12-14 at 10.20.40 AM.webp


These things are going to open at $5.65... a risk, though greed typically wins out when your history looks like the above.

I would say watch for the first few opening minutes and see if it moves up... and if so, jump in, watch, then sell just as it peaks and begins its fall. If you wait those few initial minutes of opening, and see it falling, then don't waste your time. Economists may hold a grudge for a few days on it... that is the risk.

End of the day, $5.50 opening is the lowest that has been in 2 straight years, so I would expect a high short return.

That is my pick for tomorrows market.
 
I have a few that I bought and am intending to hold through the new year.

I haven't had time to do a lot of research. I have been using money.cnn.com for my safer/more serious investments. I provides the quickest access to some decent information. I look at a few things:

AIG: Their earnings growth this year is +280%; their P/E 2.3, meaning they are undervalued. I also look at forecast and analyst ratings. When checking analyst rating if only one or two analysts rate it a buy I take that with a grain of salt. If several are and few have given it an under-perform or sell rating, I will consider buying myself. In this case 14 gave it a buy rating. No one rated it a sell. I bought and will continue to over-weight this stock :)

I also bought some more fun and volatile stocks that I have no clue what they will do, but I figured it would be fun to watch the see-saw up and down.
 
This may help you Pirate: Link Removed

Honestly, I would review and take advice from The Street before I took it from CNN.

For the short-term anyway. Hey... long-term investment is a whole different kettle of fish. If you divided your money across say the Dow Industrials, one could relatively define that you will have a 10% gain by the end of the year. 10% return is pretty good for a year on stock... especially if its more secured than risk, which the Dow is.
 
Anthony,



Stocks to watch on the Australian stock exchange at the close of trade on Friday:

ALZ - AUSTRALAND - up 11 cents or 3.44 per cent to $3.31

GPT - GPT GROUP - down four cents or 1.1 per cent to $3.56

Australand has rejected an offer from fellow property company GPT Group for its commercial and industrial and investment property portfolio.


APN - APN NEWS AND MEDIA - down five cents or 15.87 per cent to 26.5 cents

Shares in troubled APN News & Media have dived after the company warned of a dramatic slump in full year earnings.

CTX - CALTEX AUSTRALIA LTD - up 27 cents, or 1.43 per cent, at $19.20

Caltex Australia has pleased the market by forecasting a return to full-year profit in 2012 but a slowdown in its marketing business has raised concerns.

IAG - INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP - down nine cents or 1.87 per cent to $4.72

Shares in Insurance Australia Group have fallen after it finalised the sale of its ailing UK assets for a loss of $240 million.

MAH - MACMAHON HOLDINGS - down 0.8 cents, or 3.6 per cent, at 21.5 cents

Macmahon Holdings' shares have fallen after an $80.7 million capital raising and sale of its construction business was announced.

QAN - QANTAS AIRWAYS - down one cent, or 0.7 per cent, at $1.395

The competition watchdog has approved plans by Qantas to more closely integrate its operations with that of its low-cost airline Jetstar.

WHC - WHITEHAVEN COAL - down five cents or 1.55 per cent to $3.18

A damaged rail line from Whitehaven Coal's Narrabri mine in north west NSW will re-open five days earlier than expected.
 
Honestly, I would review and take advice from The Street before I took it from CNN.
CNN doesn't give their own rating, they simply poll a number of analysts and tell you what each one thought. I will not base a stock choice on the rating of one analyst - but on the sentiments of several. On the Street, 10 rate it a buy, 8 hold. The street then did their own rating and set it as a hold.

What I like about the CNN site is how they lay out the information. I checked out a few different sites for my information before settling on CNN - again, based on site layout :).

AIG is my buy and hold stock, along with Dupont and Wells Fargo. I can keep points there, and the likelihood is that in a few months I'll still have points. When the market drops some more I will dump more points into each of those. I expect they will rebound quickly after the drop.

10% return is pretty good for a year on stock... especially if its more secured than risk, which the Dow is.
If this were real money, I would go mutual funds. You can still earn a decent return on a mutual fund with significantly less risk.
 
If this were real money, I would go mutual funds. You can still earn a decent return on a mutual fund with significantly less risk

That's funny P. After the last recession and losing a bundle, we decided to stick all our real money into mutual funds. Slower, but safer.
 
Rumors, this doesn't use the Australian exchanges... only US, London and Germany.

Two for two... Rigel closed up 18.33%... I really need to be up at 1:30am my time for when the markets open, I could seriously clean-up with some of this stuff. If it was real... I would... game, not likely.
 
Rumors, I will now take that back, as the developer just released an update with new exchanges and some improvement to handling with the API of exchanges... and Australia is now included. Whoo hoo...
 
Tragedies aside, and not for discussion here... as a result of the most recent mass killing in America, three stocks to watch and profiteer from if within the US, and able to day trade, are:
  • RGR - Sturm, Ruger & Co
  • CAB - Cabela's Inc
  • SWHC - Smith & Wesson Holding Co
All three are obviously large providers of arms, from manufacture to sales. All three have just had their stocks smashed in todays trade, along with the day prior.

Now... business is business, and regardless of the tragedy, this is a panic to an act, which won't affect a thing due to arms being part of the US constitution. That means... there is a lot of money to be made if you watch those three stocks on market open for upwards movement. When they hit bottom and shift up, buy, buy, buy...

RGR especially, as it is marked by the guru's as bullish, which means it is going up again. The other two are currently marked as bearish, with an anticipated further decline, though they sentiments are more often wrong from watching things the last few weeks versus what actually happens.
 
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