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anthony
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It isn't hard to calculate actually... because the forum has an average daily post count. Based on that average daily post count, I can tell roughly when a specific figure will get met, along with past history growth.
I think it was 2011, we had just over 100,000 posts for that year. 2012 nearly doubled, about 170,000... so pretty much 300,000 in the past two years. I would anticipate fully meet, if not just exceed, the 200,000 post count between Feb 1 and Dec 31, 2013, based on that data.
When you then factor in more posted content = more traffic via search engines, then it is anticipated that the following years growth will follow a similar pattern, thus shifting to around 1.5 times the following year, however; at some point the traffic will find a maximum and the post count will remain the same, regardless of the daily count.
That may already be happening, I suspect it will increase a little yet... though I would expect the forum to be over 900,000 by end of 2014 based on all current data available to me.
Google may change something and traffic dies, thus posting goes down. They may change something that favours the site, and traffic increases, as does registrations and posting. A lot of unknowns, a lot of historical data to forecast... though nothing is perfect.
I think it was 2011, we had just over 100,000 posts for that year. 2012 nearly doubled, about 170,000... so pretty much 300,000 in the past two years. I would anticipate fully meet, if not just exceed, the 200,000 post count between Feb 1 and Dec 31, 2013, based on that data.
When you then factor in more posted content = more traffic via search engines, then it is anticipated that the following years growth will follow a similar pattern, thus shifting to around 1.5 times the following year, however; at some point the traffic will find a maximum and the post count will remain the same, regardless of the daily count.
That may already be happening, I suspect it will increase a little yet... though I would expect the forum to be over 900,000 by end of 2014 based on all current data available to me.
Google may change something and traffic dies, thus posting goes down. They may change something that favours the site, and traffic increases, as does registrations and posting. A lot of unknowns, a lot of historical data to forecast... though nothing is perfect.
