Nfl 2013 / 14 Season

[Lady of Longbourn]

@anthony....so I am wondering. If you are one of the top 3 at the end of all this, are you planning on giving yourself a lifetime membership? Or would you perhaps give in the the next person?

Just wondering so I know if it increases my winning chances. :D :D :D

 

[BigBear]

So, here's everyone's chance to blow by me. I'm taking 5 on the long odds side this week.

Bear

 

[anthony]

Just wondering so I know if it increases my winning chances. :D :D :D

Good on ya... coming from you who has a lifetime premium membership already.

The rules are already clearly stated for pickem in the announcement... anyone with such things simply get nothing. :wtf:

 

[Lady of Longbourn]

lifetime premium membership already.

I thought it was only if I remain staff, is that what you mean?

Good on ya

:D

 

[anthony]

No... all staff who have longevity moderating keep their membership. It is a gift for helping the forum.

 

[rainy_daze]

I shall highlight once again my complete lack of knowledge, and slight ignorance, of this sport. Possibly of all sports. Possibly gambling terms also? Can someone explain what the following phrases mean:

I'm taking 5 on the long odds

Bear, do you mean you're picking 5 teams to win who have the lower chance/prediction of winning? :confused:. This is not my method. My method is madness.

some falling upon OT

I cannot interpret what this means. Yes, Anthony, I really am this daft. When I read the sentence I'm wondering who this OT man is, and why he is so important in the NFL :rolleyes:. OT?

I know I'm being lazy for asking - I could easily search the internet and figure this out for myself :laugh:. I just enjoy people explaining things to me, especially when they are passionate about it.

 

[Lady of Longbourn]

When I read the sentence I'm wondering who this OT man is, and why he is so important in the NFL :rolleyes:. OT?

OT= Overtime.

:laugh:

 

[rainy_daze]

I just giggled so much. :hug: My daftness knows no bounds.

 

[BigBear]

Bear, do you mean you're picking 5 teams to win who have the lower chance/prediction of winning?

Technically, in football, there are not odds. That would be things like horse racing. In horse racing, they say for instance 50:1. Meaning bet 1 dollar and get 50 if your horse wins. Just to be clear, those odds change up until the race starts at which time that odds become fixed. The company determining the odds looks at how much money wen down on each horse. They take their cut off of the top. Then they divide what's left by the number that bet on each horse (this is not totally true but is sufficient).

In football, you bet against the expected difference in points versus the winner. Again the company moves the line around in order to get an equal number of people to bet on each side. So for instance, [DLMURL="http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/teams/car;_ylt=AqmZp2zziA0OMEhchw6kxdQsWaB4"]Yahoo currently shows Carolina Panthers[/DLMURL] at [DLMURL="http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/teams/tam;_ylt=AqXzl3y.c7nsxEti2S8ZozwsWaB4"]Tampa Bay Buccaneers as Carolina -5.5. That means that in order to get equal number of people to bet on each side, the people betting on Carolina have to give up 5.5 points to win.[/DLMURL]

What we are doing is choosing our teams but with no line... So what I'm saying is that in 5 cases, my team will win even though they are predicted to loose. So I'm mis-using the term long odds.

Bear

PS: probably more than you wanted to know...

 

[amethist]

The way I have been picking mine is by looking at who won last week and going with that.

Not doing too bad that way so far.

 

[anthony]

I'm looking at each team, per week, based on injuries, wins, loses, home vs away stats...

 

[rainy_daze]

probably more than you wanted to know...

No, that was really helpful. Interesting too. It really is a world I'm completely unfamiliar with. If I learn a bit more, there will be less daft questions said by me for you all to answer. I have enjoyed picking these teams, it's a little distraction and reminds me that there is lots of things going in the world. That might be sad, but it's true.

@anthony , I like that you're basing your decisions using as many variables to determine as possible. I somehow think that others have better methods and this may be reflected in the leader board.

:hilarious: I'm still proud I'm even guessing any correctly, ha.