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News The Big Holes In Trump's Policies.

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@Anarchy, one of the amazing things is that "Chump" and the Clintons have been close friends for over thirty years. It leads my wife to believe that his getting the Republican nomination was all staged, (not that she has any reason to be a conspiracy theorist).

@scout86, I couldn't agree withyou more. I think they would make a great team.
 
One of the firmer pieces of grandiose narcisisstic/psychopathic gobshite - that passes for Trump campaign pledges...

that I was going to cover, was the futile and counter productive idea of import duties.

The current united state administration has just beaten trump to it, with a 522% import tariff on Chinese made cold rolled steel.

This is allegedly due to "unfair competition"
The appropriate follow up question is; "unfair for whom?"

Unfair for the users of products that cold rolled steel goes into? - we (you and I) are those users who could have expected cheaper products, but those who live in the united state will now never see them.

or is the competition from cheap Chinese steel unfair for a few politically connected special interests, like union bosses and steel mill shareholders?

It is not actually unfair competition for people currently employed ad steel workers or those steel workers families, as there are plenty of other areas of activity where their brains and effort could be usefully employed (or could be if taxes and regulations didn't discourage those activities, by sucking the returns out of them).

People in the rest of the world (but not america) will now enjoy the products which that cheaper steel will go into

The Chinese steel mills will hopefully rationalize and only the most efficeint will remain open - meanwhile, American steel mills can kick the can down the road and remain at their current levels of inefficeincy and uncompetitiveness

and Americans can have the benefit of paying more than anyone else for products containing steel

and as a result, those Americans will have less money left to spend on all of the other things that go towards fulfilling their needs

a few politically connected cronies win
everyone else in America gets poorer

With the new import tariff, you don't even need to wait for Trump to be elected to enjoy some of the lunacy that he hinted that he might enact for you.
 
Or how about Trump's "policy" on how to treat women?

Just had to throw that out there. New stuff on this comes out almost every day.

I think this guy is SERIOUSLY mentally ill. All of the ways he "pretends" to be his own press secretary? Leaking things purposefully to the media? It's insanity.
 
@Anarchy , I think it's unfair in the sense that here, they have to deal with environmental regulations and pay half way decent wages. (There would be a price to be paid for employees dropping over dead at work HERE.( China doesn't have those inconveniences. I don't know that tariffs are the answer to this though. It's the price we pay for a "global economy". The race to the bottom for most people who aren't in the top 1%.

But, anyone who thinks Trump cares about any of that, is sadly mistaken.
It's insanity.
But it might work..... :nailbiting:
 
A historical note first;
Environmental regs are an interesting one historically.

In the 19th century, ordinary people took polluters to court, for such torts as blighting orchards and poisoning pastures (In Britain, for damaging fisheries - but I gather that was more difficult in America where the fe'ral gubbermint arbitrarily claims ownership of waterways).

The courts were finding in favour of those who had sufferred loss due to pollution, and there was even an emerging environmental forensics industry, for tracking down and positively identifying the polluters.

The crony system soon saw to that. The industrialists had words with the politicians who lived in their pockets, and the judges (remember it is the state that operates a monopoly judiciary) were told that the small minded and selfish whining complainers were standing in the way of progress and national greatness...

I suspect that a similar thing happened to tort claims for deaths and injuries at work. Steel making is no longer labour intensive though.

The likes of the EPA and the idea behind it that a free market cannot prevent a race to the bottom is therefore particularly egregious.

In China, where the state owns the judiciary and the means of production, and claims to own the land, the rivers and the people (arguably the united state also claims to own the people). the only checks and balances on the whims of central planners are brute force. It's sad that so many in America see the socialism as a more compassionate system.

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in the first place the Chinese steel is cheaper, you therefore get the benefit of goods which contain steel, at lower cost, and have more money left over to buy the other goods you'd like.

And in the second place, If Iron and steel making cause environmental damage, surely that would be an argument for buying the Chinese steel, which isn't causing pollution in the united state.

Even if that steel is subsidized - if a gubbermint is stupid enough to tax the population which it lords it over, so that you can have cheaper goods containing steel, then enjoy those goods, and enjoy the money that you saved as a result.

If the subsidy stops, and it becomes profitable to open new steelworks in America again. Those steelworks will have the most up to date technology available, compared to the older and less advanced steelworks that have just lost their subsidies.
 
buying the Chinese steel, which isn't causing pollution in the united state.
Besides the fact that I have a certain amount of sympathy for people who had the misfortune to be born in China, or any of a number of other, similar parts of the world, a flaw in this way of looking at things is that a lot of pollution, and a lot of the effects of pollution, doesn't respect the arbitrary boundaries humankind draws. They can't keep "their air" over there. And, "their water" ultimately dumps into "our ocean" and enters "our atmosphere" to continue on in "our water cycle". We are all interconnected, whether we want to be or not. There are "costs" associated with all of this, they just aren't reflected in the price of Chinese steel.
 
This gives a background* to "externalities" or what Garret Hardin described as "The Tragedy of The Commons". He then goes on to discuss monetary externalities, with particular reference to the euro currency.

The title of Hardin's essay, gives an indication of the source of the problem: "commons" the lack of property rights or the restriction on those property rights being defended.

________________________________
*The mainstream treatment of externalities would be people like Coase and Demsetz. Bagus actually makes some serious advances from their treatment of the subject.
 


FFS! I want to poke holes in Trump's policies
but everyone else is just too easy to rip the piss out of as well
 
From JustMeHere's sister thread
This is one of several articles sent to me by a TRUMP SUPPORTER.

This article is about how Trump is in support of nuclear war between Japan and North Korea because it would help the US economy.

I don't even have any more words. All words, gone. I am speechless.
Dead Link Removed
Help the US economy?

Ok-------this sort of thing highlights the fact that there is no concern whatsoever about the loss of human life-----innocent human life! It all boils down to money. Millions of lives would be lost to fix our economy?!?

Are people really this stupid?
Well spotted and unfortunately yes, there are some otherwise extremely bright individuals including some Nobel prize winners in economics, who really are that stupid.
When was the last time there was a war of this proportion that the US didn't get involved in?
The various parts of the leadership just cannot seem to keep out of wars. It's very much what Eisenhower warned of in his speech about the military-industrial-intellectual complex.

When there is political opposition to wars, with very few exceptions, it isn't a principled opposition to war (Ron Paul is one of the few who genuinely was principled in his opposition), the opposition is more that it isn't a war that appeals to neocons (ok, that might be difficult, neocons seem to worship wars more than they detest political opponents) or it's a war that doesn't appeal to progressives.

When was the last time that a war helped our economy?

WWII-------but that was a very VERY different time.
I'll make the argument a little further down, that WWII certainly did not help "the economy" in the sense of the word that I'm guessing we probably both use it -

that is; an economy as the informal network of people making things and doing things that other people want to make their lives more comfortable and enjoyable; food, clothes, cars, houses, furniture, books, films, shops selling things, people doing things that other people like - acting, singing, serving meals and drinks with a friendly smile. Doctoring, nursing, therapy-izing, insuring, mending.

________________________________

The idea that war or any other destruction (hurricanes, earthquakes, tornadoes, fires, plagues...) make us richer, is the Broken Window Fallacy, writ large.

If Trump, Paul Krugman or anyone else thinks that destruction makes us richer - rather than inflict destruction on people like us; why don't they employ someone to Blow the trump and or Krugman house up? torch their own car? or destroy some of their other stuff?

Amanda summarises the broken window fallacy and its application to war with chapters 2 and 3 of Hazlitt (for anyone who hasn't seen it already)

______________________________-
So how can people be confused, that they think war is good for the economy?

Historical background
From the time of Francis Bacon (1561 - 1629), there has been a school of thought that knowledge can only be gained by measuring things, and collecting masses and masses of data.

It sort of ties in with John Locke's "Tabula Rasa" (blank slate) theory of mind, that "there is nothing in the intellect that was not first in the senses"

Leibniz added "there is nothing in the intellect that was not first in the senses, except for the intellect itself"
We have to know what data it is relevant to collect before we can draw any conclusions from it, for example, we are able to know before we start that we are never going to find data showing that 2+2 does not equal 4, even if we are looking at male and female rabbits, or hungry lions and tender lambs.

In late nineteenth and the early 20th century, the Progressive era ushered in the idea that the economy needed to be planned, that important decisions could not be left to the vagaries of an anarchy of production.

Pressure for that came from several directions;

Big businesses and financiers, looking to regulate competition out of existence or to bring competitors under their control (the Morgans and Rockerfellers, and others (eg Mc Cormic) had been attempting to create cartels or monopolies on the unhampered market, respectively with railroads, standard oil and agricultural machinery, and in each instance they had failed to keep cheaper competitors from springing up, so they never got to reap the monopoly profits that they wanted)

Well meaning social reformers, looking for improved conditions, for production of more of something, or less of something else (less liquor for example).

Academics and technocrats - maybe they were not going to manage to be Plato's philosopher-kings but they could certainly have power and prestige as philosopher to the king, and managing the new bureaucracies.

and of course politicians who would get their names on the laws that would need to be enacted in order to force these plans to happen.
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What data was chosen

Ammongst the technocrats were people like Irving fisher, who sought to gather statistics in order to plan the economy
(it all begins to sound a bit like like Borat's; "...for make benefit great nation..."

One of the statistics which emerged, coming to especial prominance after Bretton Woods was Gross Domestic Product (GDP)The nerdy stuff is at the link, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gross_domestic_product#Expenditure_approach


That single figure contains both the money spent on the things which make life better, ice creams, washing powder, trips out, a holiday, new curtains...
and whatever government spends money on, which might be good, bad or indifferent as far as our lives go

What get's done with that dumb aggregated figure?

The theory which Keynes pretty much summed up in his "General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money", but that people like Hoover and FDR had been implementing before Keynes gave it a fake veneer of intellectual backing was;

that a government should print money and spend it on absolutely anything in order to rescue the economy from the supposed perils of falling aggregate expenditure.

suggestions for what the government should spend money on have included;
  • employing people to dig holes in the ground and fill them in again
  • building Pyramids (John Maynard Keynes seemed to have a real fascination for pyramids)
  • and of course war time production of bombs and killing people

None of those contribute to the things which support life, make it easier, or more enjoyable to live

Instead they take the raw materials and human labour that would have gone into making the things which we'd choose to buy,
and funnel them into destruction

but we can all rejoice because a stupid feckin number has increased - and to dumb feckin mathsturbating econometricians, that means that the economy has "recovered"

It really is that stupid
 
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In the original post by the op it was inferred that Trump would impose tariffs if elected. I do pay a lot of attention to politics and I have never seen, or heard him say that. What he has said is we will make better deals with the other countries. He is absolutely correct that the other countries, China and Mexico are kicking the US butts in trade.

What he has said it he will call out the countries that are artificially devaluing their own currency to keep their domestic goods at an artificially low price, to the determent of their own citizens, I might add, so that they can sell goods cheaper than American made goods.

I might also add that I am not necessarily a fan of Donald Trump, however everyone who truly knows him, speaks highly of him. He does a lot of good for a lot of people without broadcasting it. Something worth considering.
 
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